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United States market

Ford GT40 (Mk1)

1964–1968

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  • Lowest price

    US$6,930,000

    Since 2020

  • Median price

    US$6,985,000

    Since 2020 · n=2

  • Highest price

    US$7,040,000

    Since 2020

  • Sold cars

    3

    All time

  • Sell-through

    100%

    Of 3 lots

Ford GT40

Based on 3 verified auction results

HOLDStablelow confidence

US$6,930,000

Market value · recent verified sales

+4.7%

12-month change

Hold or Wait

Appreciating but pace slowing. Patient buyers may find better entry.

Prices have been flat (+4.7%). No strong directional signal.

MSRP

Collectibility

10/10

Holy Grail

3-Year Forecast

US$8,217,153

+19%

5-Year Forecast

US$8,684,026

+25%

Estimates based on 3 verified United States sales.

Market scores

44

Desirability

Thin

30

Liquidity

Good

60

Resale Outlook

Marque analyst note

The Ford GT40 Mk1 sits at a US$6.93 million median with a 4.7 percent gain over the past 12 months, anchored by a modest three-transaction sample that signals stability without momentum. The Hold rating reflects a market in equilibrium—enough upward movement to suggest continued appreciation, but not enough liquidity or transaction velocity to confirm conviction.

Only 31 examples were built, placing the Mk1 at the apex of production-volume scarcity, and its "Holy Grail" collectibility score underscores its status as one of motorsport history's most significant automobiles. Desirability is rated as moderate rather than exceptional, likely because provenance, race history, and mechanical originality create wide value dispersion across the small population—not every Mk1 commands the same regard.

The thin liquidity environment means fewer than three sales per year in the tracked market; this constrains price discovery and widens bid-ask spreads for potential buyers or sellers. No active listings are currently recorded, which is typical for cars at this value threshold and rarity level.

Projections suggest the Mk1 could reach approximately US$8.22 million by 2027 (18.6 percent appreciation) and US$8.68 million by 2030 (25.3 percent over the current median), assuming continued collector appetite for significant competition history and production scarcity. These gains align with long-term classic-car inflation rather than speculative momentum, reflecting the car's role as a trophy asset rather than a trading vehicle.

The low confidence score reflects the sparse transaction sample and consequent uncertainty around true market consensus. Buyers and sellers should expect extended holding periods and rely heavily on provenance documentation and mechanical condition to support negotiations in this thin market.

Depreciation Benchmark

  • Current avg valueUS$6,930,000
  • Annual appr. rate+4.7%/yr
  • Segment average+3.0 to +9.5%/yr

Est. Annual Ownership Costs

  • Insurance (agreed value)US$55,410
  • MaintenanceUS$5,360
  • StorageUS$3,220
  • Depreciation— (appreciating)
  • Total annual costUS$63,990
This car has historically appreciated — carrying cost is offset by value growth, not eroded by depreciation.

Market Liquidity

  • Active Listings0
  • Sales Last 12 Months0
  • Sell-Through0%

Market Snapshot

  • Active Listings0
  • Avg Sale PriceUS$6,270,000
  • Avg Mileage at Sale
  • Recent Price RangeUS$4,840,000 – US$7,040,000
  • Total Sales Tracked3

Recent sales

  • US$7,040,000

    mecum · 19 Jan 2025

  • US$6,930,000

    mecum · 14 Jan 2024

  • US$4,840,000

    mecum · 20 Aug 2016

Indicative only — not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future value.