Tesla Roadster (1st gen)

The Australian market for first-generation Tesla Roadsters shows significant downward pressure, with the current median price at AUD $103,788 reflecting a sharp 22.8% decline over the past year. A sell signal is in effect, though this conclusion carries medium confidence due to the extremely limited transaction sample of just one recorded sale in the tracked period.

First-generation Roadsters remain classified as appreciating classics with a collectibility score of 8 out of 10, supported by their limited production run of 2,450 units globally. However, desirability in the Australian market currently registers as low, and the zero active listings suggest meaningful liquidity constraints for potential sellers.

The single transaction recorded this year involved a vehicle with 9,913 kilometres, indicating well-maintained examples are present in the market. This low-mileage profile is typical for early Roadsters, many of which have been garage-kept rather than regularly driven.

Forward projections paint a cautious picture, with the base case suggesting prices could fall to AUD $63,750 within three years—a 38.6% decline from current levels—and potentially AUD $54,956 within five years, representing a 47% total loss. These declines reflect broader softening in early-generation EV collectibles as later models with better range and performance become more readily available on the secondary market.

The illiquid trading environment combined with weak current desirability and declining valuations creates an unfavourable setup for holding positions. The absence of active listings reinforces the difficulty of executing sales in this market segment.