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Australia market

Ford Mustang (1st gen Fastback)

1964–1968

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  • Lowest price

    $26,000

    Since 2020

  • Median price

    $56,000

    Since 2020 · n=23

  • Highest price

    $283,000

    Since 2020

  • Sold cars

    23

    All time

  • Sell-through

    100%

    Of 23 lots

Ford Mustang

Based on 23 verified auction results

BUYBottomed Outhigh confidence

$49,500

Market value · recent verified sales

-7.5%

12-month change

Strong Buy

Trend favours buyers right now. Move while supply is loose.

Price has settled around current levels after a decline (12-mo change -7.5%). Often a buy window before recovery.

MSRP

Collectibility

6/10

Collectible

3-Year Forecast

$41,413

-16%

5-Year Forecast

$39,158

-21%

Market scores

51

Desirability

Thin

30

Liquidity

Moderate

40

Resale Outlook

Option premiums

What every option is worth.

  • Bucket seats

    $35,698-64%

    5 with · 352 without · med confidence

  • Manual gearbox

    +$22,235+40%

    159 with · 103 without · high confidence

  • Hardtop included

    $19,925-36%

    21 with · 336 without · high confidence

  • Built ≤ 1967

    $5,802-10%

    254 with · 54 without · high confidence

Premiums compare the median price of sales with each option against comparable sales without it, mined from verified auction listings. Sales are pooled across markets on a relative-price basis, so exchange rates and market levels can't skew the split. Options interact in ways a one-at-a-time split can’t capture — treat each premium as directional rather than gospel.

Marque analyst note

The 1st-generation Ford Mustang Fastback is trading at a median of $49,500 AUD in the Australian market, down 7.5% year-over-year, though the assessment signals a bottom has formed—the status reads "Bottomed Out" with high confidence.

Transaction activity remains sparse, with just seven sales in the past 12 months against a total tracked sample of 23 vehicles, indicating thin liquidity that typically favors patient buyers over sellers in this segment. The absence of current listings reinforces the scarcity dynamic, though supply tightness alone cannot offset the broader softness in values.

These first-generation Fastbacks hold collectible status with moderate desirability, a tier that reflects their place as genuine classics without the production scarcity or specification exclusivity that commands premium pricing in the modern market. Their appeal rests on design heritage and the cultural significance of the original Mustang generation rather than rarity.

The projection data suggests further consolidation ahead: base forecasts point to $41,413 AUD (down 16.3%) over three years and $39,158 AUD (down 20.9%) over five years, mapping a gradual decline from current levels rather than a sharp correction.

This combination of depressed recent trading, thin transaction frequency, and downward medium-term projections positions the segment as a longer-term accumulation opportunity for buyers with patience and no immediate liquidity needs. The "Bottomed Out" signal reflects technical relief rather than fundamental momentum reversal.

Depreciation Benchmark

  • Current avg value$49,500
  • Annual appr. rate-7.5%/yr
  • Segment average+3.0 to +9.5%/yr

Vehicle History Signals

  • Auction lots tracked359
  • Damage or salvage declared0 (0.0%)
  • No damage declared359 (100.0%)
No damage or salvage declarations found in the titles and descriptions of the auction lots we track for this model. That's a good sign, not a guarantee — always commission a professional inspection and history check before buying.

Est. Annual Ownership Costs

  • Insurance (agreed value)$910
  • Maintenance$1,830
  • Storage$4,870
  • Depreciation— (appreciating)
  • Total annual cost$7,610
This car has historically appreciated — carrying cost is offset by value growth, not eroded by depreciation.

For sale now · 1 live

All live deals

Market Liquidity

  • Active Listings0
  • Sales Last 12 Months8
  • Sell-Through35%

Market Snapshot

  • Active Listings0
  • Avg Sale Price$76,843
  • Avg Mileage at Sale
  • Recent Price Range$26,000 – $283,000
  • Total Sales Tracked23

Recent sales

Showing latest 20
  • $34,750

    Collecting Cars · 8 Jul 2026

  • $49,500

    Collecting Cars · 12 Mar 2026

  • $75,000

    Collecting Cars · 11 Mar 2026

  • $26,000

    Collecting Cars · 3 Mar 2026

  • $283,000

    Collecting Cars · 7 Nov 2025

  • $44,250

    Collecting Cars · 13 Oct 2025

  • $90,000

    Collecting Cars · 30 Sept 2025

  • $94,000

    Collecting Cars · 8 Sept 2025

  • $160,000

    Collecting Cars · 23 Jul 2025

  • $53,500

    Collecting Cars · 4 Jul 2025

Indicative only — not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future value.