BMW M2 (G87)

The BMW M2 G87 in the Australian market sits at a median of AUD $87,800, up 10.9% over the past year—a modest appreciation that masks the fundamental trajectory of a depreciating modern performance car. That gain should be read cautiously: only three transactions have been tracked over twelve months, making the signal fragile and confidence in the trend genuinely low.

The car entered the market at AUD $132,000, meaning current pricing reflects roughly 33% depreciation from list. This gap between purchase price and resale value is typical for new-generation M variants in their early years, though the recent uptick suggests some stabilisation in the Australian cohort.

Liquidity remains thin with just three sales tracked in a year-long window and zero active listings at present. For prospective sellers, this scarcity of comparable transactions makes price discovery difficult; for buyers, limited stock may support asking prices but also signals weak underlying demand relative to the broader enthusiast market.

The G87's collectibility score of 3 reflects modest demand and a low-desirability classification that will likely persist. As a current-generation daily-driver M car rather than a future collectible, it competes on performance and condition rather than rarity or heritage appeal.

Over three years, the base projection sits at AUD $70,590, implying a further 19.6% decline from current levels. The five-year outlook extends that slide to AUD $67,103, or 23.6% below today's median. These forecasts align with typical modern sports-car depreciation patterns, where models shed value most sharply in years two through five before potential stabilisation.

The hold signal reflects the tension between recent appreciation and structural depreciation risk. With no active stock and only three traded examples, owners and prospects should expect continued downward pressure over the medium term, with the next 12–24 months likely decisive for whether the recent uptick was genuine recovery or noise.